2012东三省数学建模论文论文(4)

2012东三省数学建模论文论文

数列平稳后，对平稳序列进行白噪声检验，P<0.0001，拒绝原假设，该人口序列为非白噪声

序列，建模继续；

Autocorrelations

Lag Covariance Correlation -1 9 8 7 6 5 4 3 2 1 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8

9 1 Std Error

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1 257.536 0.66393 | . | 0.179605 2 180.728 0.46592 | . | 0.246367 3 143.313 0.36946 | . | 0.273317 4 70.824221 0.18259 | . | 0.288979 5 46.043253 0.11870 | . | 0.292677 6 78.223650 0.20166 | . | 0.294225 7 16.865731 0.04348 | . | 0.298651 8 -41.983495 -.10823 | . | 0.298855 9 -41.585584 -.10721 | . | 0.300117 10 -108.845 -.28060 | . . | 0.301350 11 -148.403 -.38259 | . . | 0.309663 12 -116.068 -.29923 | . . | 0.324553 "." marks two standard errors Partial Autocorrelations Lag Correlation -1 9 8 7 6 5 4 3 2 1 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 1 0.66393 | . | 2 0.04492 | . |* .